13 September 2010

Kinds of businesses and kinds of business(wo)men

Paul Kedrosky discusses some of the consequences coming down the pipe for the VC industry.  Paul draws much of his inspiration from his friend, Bill Stensrud, who's a VC investor himself.  Thinking about the current state of the VC industry, Bill observes that an overweening interest in getting to an exit (read: finding a buyer) has come to replace an interest in cash flow (read: making money).

What [all VC] firms have in common is that they exist to buy and sell equities.  They both buy from entrepreneurs and they both sell to acquirers or (very infrequently these days) to public shareholders.  They are, at their very core, traders.  Their job is to buy low and sell high.  This fundamental truth about the venture business informs every action they take whether mainstream of super-angel.  It also informs the culture of the businesses they create.  Everyone is looking for a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow - the life changing - all consuming - EXIT!!  The nature of their business model demands it.  These are close-end funds.  They have to return money - cash - to their investors.
In this blog over the next several months I am going to explore another - even more ancient - model for company creation.  This is art and practice of building and running a business for POSITIVE CASH FLOW.  Before there was venture capital and before there were EXITS, people built businesses to make money so they could pay their bills.  I will argue that re-discovering this model drives a corporate culture which is much healthier, more robust and more survivable than the EXIT-focused culture created by the venture capital model.  I will also argue that the cash flow model can engage the employees, the critical human capital asset of every business, to significantly greater efficacy than equity models.  Lastly, I will argue that we can modestly scale this model to the point that it can become a significant factor in new business creation.
One of the consequences of thinking about business environments as ecologies is that it makes it relatively easy to think the relationship between the people who run businesses and the generic conditions in which those businesses operate.  It becomes easy to see how VCs, in actively selecting with an eye toward the exit, might over time change the population of entrepreneurs they partner with.  It might be obvious that business ideas that make money, but have no clear exit strategies, do not fare well securing VC in today's market.  But business ideas are developed by and instantiated by businesspeople.

Today's VC climate actively selects against entrepreneurs who want to "build and hold" profitable businesses.  "Build and hold" doesn't just describe a business model--it describes a temperament:
  • Thoughtful - concerned with long-term secular trends rather than high-velocity volatile fads
  • Prudent - husbands scarce resources for the long haul--including and especially managerial stamina (contemporary VC expects managerial burnout, though it hopes to exit before it happens)
  • Patient - satisfied to build a strong foundation for big success by stringing together a long series of small, cumulative successes
If we want businesses that are conceived and constructed as long-term money-making ventures, we need entrepreneurs with the right temperament.  If modern VC's intensive focus on the exit has changed the character of our pool of important and interesting business ideas, well, so what?  New ideas are easy to come by.  But I fear there may have been a more subtle and more fundamental change in the character of our entrepreneurs (as a group, not as individuals).  We now have one, maybe two generations of top-tier entrepreneurs (with the right experience and connections) who think of starting a business as aiming for an exit.
Forced Exit
In order to make best use of our limited resources, we have created a streamlined system whereby everyone must exit at Easy Street.

Our current business culture of get-what-you-can-while-you-can follows directly from the preferences of the VC investors who hire people with that kind of temperament to build and run their businesses.  As go new businesses, so goes all business.  It's hard to see how we get sensible businesspeople to run our businesses until investors stop thinking like traders.


Josh said...


Interesting perspective on effects of current VC posture. If there is a weak spot in your construction, I think it is here: "As go new businesses, so goes all business."

I agree that startups are often the originators of new ideas; therefore, I concur that they affect the direction of innovation. But those companies who buy these startups have varried startegies and business people; therefore, other models are supportable after "exit." Moreover, some innovations -especially those that require a eater event horizon- are developed in larger houses.